Giannis Antetokounmpo Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Giannis Antetokounmpo

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Made 3 Point Shots

Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks · Nov 20, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 11:57 PM EST

Analysis

Giannis Antetokounmpo Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-119/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Giannis Antetokounmpo ranks in the 79th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 32.0 minutes per game on the road this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 6.2 3-point attempts per game (28th-most in the NBA) vs. the Wizards, resulting in a favorable matchup.
The 5th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from facing the 2nd-most up-tempo pace team in the league this year (the Wizards).

Favors Under

Giannis Antetokounmpo has converted a lowly 4.8% of his three-point attempts this year, quite a bit lower than his 28.0 rate last year.
Giannis Antetokounmpo has committed 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's committed over the course of the year.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks rank 2ndworst in in the NBA as the road team with just 7.8 offensive boards per game this year.
This year, their opposition has brought down 13.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Wizards (preserving possessions that can result in added chances for offense).
Giannis Antetokounmpo will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsen player production across the board.