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Giannis Antetokounmpo

Giannis Antetokounmpo Assists
Player Prop - 2/13/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

Giannis Antetokounmpo Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Giannis Antetokounmpo rates in the 91st percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 34.0 minutes per game playing at home this year.

The 4th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the league this year has been the Bucks.

This year, opposing clubs have captured 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat (lessening possessions that could otherwise create further opportunities for offense).

Giannis Antetokounmpo will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually raises player performance in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Giannis Antetokounmpo has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.

The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from facing the most lethargic pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Heat).

The Bucks rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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