Giannis Antetokounmpo Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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Giannis Antetokounmpo

NBA · Player Props

Giannis Antetokounmpo

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Assists

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 12:08 AM EST

Analysis

Giannis Antetokounmpo Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Giannis Antetokounmpo has posted 7.4 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's posted over the course of the year.
Giannis Antetokounmpo has tallied 34.8 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the league over the last 15 games.
The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the speediest pace offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Pacers).

Favors Under

Giannis Antetokounmpo has been called for 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (93rd percentile).
The Bucks have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, opposing teams have brought down 13.6 offensive boards per game (most in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers (preserving possessions that can generate added chances for offense).
Giannis Antetokounmpo will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally reduces player performance across the board.

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