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Giannis Antetokounmpo

Giannis Antetokounmpo Assists
Player Prop - 11/28/2023

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks

 
 
 
Giannis Antetokounmpo Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo has posted 6.4 assists per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.1 higher than he's posted over the course of the season on the road.
  • Among all players in the league, Giannis Antetokounmpo lands in the 86th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 33.0 minutes per game when playing away from home this year.
  • The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
  • The Heat have allowed the 6th-least offensive boards per game (9.7) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all players in the league, Giannis Antetokounmpo places in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 3.1 fouls per game this year.
  • The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Bucks.
  • Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 4thworst in in the league without the home court advantage with just 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces player performance for all stats.

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