Giannis Antetokounmpo Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/24/2023

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Giannis Antetokounmpo

NBA · Player Props

Giannis Antetokounmpo

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Assists

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks · Apr 24, 2023

Updated Apr 24, 2023 11:36 PM EST

Analysis

Giannis Antetokounmpo Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Giannis Antetokounmpo has compiled 9.0 assists per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 2.7 more than he's compiled overall this year on the road.
Giannis Antetokounmpo has averaged 31.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 83rd percentile.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from home.
The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Giannis Antetokounmpo has tallied 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (95th percentile).
The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Bucks.
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Giannis Antetokounmpo will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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