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Giannis Antetokounmpo

Giannis Antetokounmpo Assists
Player Prop - 3/29/2023

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks

Giannis Antetokounmpo Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Giannis Antetokounmpo has posted 8.0 assists per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 2.0 more than he's posted in all games this season on the road.

Giannis Antetokounmpo has tallied 31.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 84th percentile.

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games.

The Pacers have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games in their home stadium, which should lead to more plays for the Bucks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Giannis Antetokounmpo has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (96th percentile).

The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

While on their home court, the Pacers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Giannis Antetokounmpo will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsens player production in all stat categories.

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