Giannis Antetokounmpo Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2023

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Giannis Antetokounmpo

NBA · Player Props

Giannis Antetokounmpo

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Assists

Milwaukee Bucks vs Charlotte Hornets · Jan 31, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Giannis Antetokounmpo Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+118/-144).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -146 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Giannis Antetokounmpo has averaged 5.3 assists per game this year, putting him in the 91st percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this metric over this stretch.
Giannis Antetokounmpo has been on the court for 31.7 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 84th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing at home (which also create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Bucks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Hornets.

Favors Under

Giannis Antetokounmpo has averaged 3.3 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 97th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Hornets have allowed the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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