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Garrison Mathews

Garrison Mathews Points
Player Prop - 12/22/2023

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks

Garrison Mathews Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Garrison Mathews has successfully made 78.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 27.9% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.

This year, opposing starting SFs have totaled 12.2 field goal attempts per game (24th-most in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, marking this as a positive matchup.

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing on the road.

The Hawks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

The Miami Heat have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Garrison Mathews has been on the court for 11.0 minutes per game this year, some of the lowest playing time of any player in the league: 15th percentile.

Garrison Mathews has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's been called for in all games this year.

This matchup is a strong one for threes; when the Miami Heat are playing at home, their opposition has posted the 4th-highest three percentage in the league against them this year (38.6%).

The Hawks will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from being pitted against the least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Heat).

In comparison to last season's 91.0% mark, Garrison Mathews's foul-shot prowess has diminished this season to 0.0%.

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