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Garrison Mathews

Garrison Mathews Points
Player Prop - 12/11/2023

Atlanta Hawks vs Denver Nuggets

Garrison Mathews Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+113/-147).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -147.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Garrison Mathews has attempted 2.3 shots from the field per game over the last 7 games when playing away from home, 2.3 more than he's attempted in all games this season on the road.

Garrison Mathews has tallied 0.6 personal fouls per game over the last 7 games at home, 2.4 lower than he's tallied over the course of the year at home.

The 2nd-fastest pace visiting team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.

The Atlanta Hawks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

This year when they are at home, opposing squads have captured 9.9 offensive rebounds per game (7th-fewest in the league) vs. the Nuggets (lessening possessions that could otherwise create added chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Garrison Mathews measures in the 18th percentile for playing time, tallying just 5.8 minutes per game away from his home court this year.

The matchup against Denver is a tough one for three-point attempts; when the Denver Nuggets are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 13th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.8).

The Hawks are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 5th-most lethargic pace away offense in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).

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