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Garrison Mathews

Garrison Mathews Assists
Player Prop - 12/11/2023

Atlanta Hawks vs Denver Nuggets

Garrison Mathews Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-160/+120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Garrison Mathews has tallied 0.6 personal fouls per game over the last 7 games at home, 2.4 lower than he's tallied over the course of the year at home.

The 2nd-fastest pace visiting team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.

The Atlanta Hawks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

This year when they are at home, opposing squads have captured 9.9 offensive rebounds per game (7th-fewest in the league) vs. the Nuggets (lessening possessions that could otherwise create added chances for offense).

Garrison Mathews will likely get a boost in productivity in all stat categories in light of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Garrison Mathews has posted 0.4 assists per game away from home since the start of last season, placing him in the 15th percentile -- near the bottom of the league by this metric.

Among all players in the league, Garrison Mathews measures in the 18th percentile for playing time, tallying just 5.8 minutes per game away from his home court this year.

The Hawks are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 5th-most lethargic pace away offense in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).

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