Fred VanVleet Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/19/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 19, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has tallied 5.8 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's tallied overall this season.
Fred VanVleet has been on the court for 36.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 99th percentile.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which can also provide new chances for scoring and assists).
The Raptors have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA this year at home, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Timberwolves.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has averaged 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (90th percentile).
The Timberwolves have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to opposing teams this year (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 7th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year when playing on the road.
Fred VanVleet will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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