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Fred VanVleet

Fred VanVleet Points
Player Prop - 3/14/2025

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+102/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Fred VanVleet has attempted 8.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 1.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this season at home.
  • Fred VanVleet has averaged 34.1 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
  • The matchup against Dallas is a positive one for three-pointers; when the Dallas Mavericks are on the road, the other team's starting PGs have tallied the 9th-most 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (2.4).
  • The Mavericks have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 25 games away from their home stadium, which ought to raise possessions for the Rockets.
  • The Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all players in the league, Fred VanVleet lands in the 85th percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 2.4 fouls per game this year.
  • The Rockets rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games on their home court.
  • The Houston Rockets have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games on their home court.
  • The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.9 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the league).

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