Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2024

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Houston Rockets · Nov 17, 2024

Updated Nov 18, 2024 1:10 AM UTC

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet measures in the 91st percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 35.2 minutes per game this year.
The 8th-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets.
The Rockets are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from being pitted against the quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Bulls).
The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 3.1 rate, Fred VanVleet's three-pointers hit have been reduced this season to 2.2 per game.
In terms of offense, the Rockets's subpar 105.6 points per game while playing away from home ranks 8th-weakest in the league this year.
The matchup against the Chicago Bulls is a tough one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs this year (13.7).
Fred VanVleet has made 65.6% of his foul shot attempts this year, putting him in the 19th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Bulls, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

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