Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2024

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Utah Jazz vs Houston Rockets · Apr 11, 2024

Updated Apr 12, 2024 1:16 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has attempted 17.6 shots per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 3.5 higher than he's attempted overall this year on the road.
Fred VanVleet has attempted 8.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, putting him in the 97th percentile among all players in the league.
Out of all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet lands in the 99th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 36.8 minutes per game this year.
The 5th-speediest pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets will likely see a spike in plays today from competing against the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Jazz).

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has tallied 3.9 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 more than he's tallied over the course of the year.
With respect to three-point shots, the Houston Rockets's feeble 33.1% rate of converted threes while on the road settles in as the worst in the NBA this year.
This year when they are on the road, opposing starting PGs have totaled 1.1 three-pointers per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Utah Jazz, branding this as a tough matchup.
Fred VanVleet will likely suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all facets of the game as a result of being on the road in this contest.

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