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Fred VanVleet

Fred VanVleet Points
Player Prop - 2/4/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Fred VanVleet has attempted 7.7 treys per game this year, putting him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league.

Among all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet measures in the 99th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 36.9 minutes per game this year.

The Rockets have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Rockets rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 25 games, their opposition has secured 9.1 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-fewest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate added chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Fred VanVleet has attempted just 13.5 shots per game this year, quite a bit less than his 16.2 mark last year.

Out of all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet lands in the 75th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a massive 2.3 fouls per game this year.

In terms of shooting, the Rockets's lackluster 111.6 points per game while on the road ranks 9th-fewest in the league this year.

The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a difficult one for shots from the field; the other team's starting PGs have shot for the 15th-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (39.8%).

The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Houston Rockets.

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