Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2024

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 31, 2024

Updated Feb 1, 2024 1:08 AM UTC

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+112/-152).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -143 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ +112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet lands in the 98th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 36.1 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.
The matchup against the Pelicans is a good one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting PGs have averaged the 28th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.1).
The Houston Rockets have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Pelicans have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Houston Rockets.
The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In contrast to last year's 16.2 clip, Fred VanVleet's shots have decreased this year to 13.7 per game.
Fred VanVleet has committed 3.5 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 more than he's committed over the course of the season.
The Rockets rank as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
In contrast to last season's 3.7 clip, Fred VanVleet's free throws converted have dropped this season to 2.7 per game.

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