Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Phoenix Suns · Dec 27, 2023

Updated Dec 28, 2023 1:26 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has attempted 7.5 shots from downtown per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA.
Fred VanVleet has been on the court for 36.5 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 99th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court.
The Rockets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Among all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet ranks in the 86th percentile for free-throw effectiveness while playing at home with a an excellent 93.5% rate this year.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 0.1 higher than he's committed in all games this season at home.
The Rockets have been the 2nd-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 10 games.
This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have compiled 12.2 points per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Suns, creating a challenging matchup for offensive productivity.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Houston Rockets.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing squads have grabbed 13.0 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Suns (preserving possessions that can lead to added chances for offense).