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Fred VanVleet

Fred VanVleet Points
Player Prop - 12/2/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Houston Rockets

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Fred VanVleet lands in the 100th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 37.1 minutes per game this year.

The Houston Rockets have been the 7th-most efficient shooting team in the league over the last 5 games.

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games while traveling, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Rockets.

With the home court advantage, the Lakers have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 5 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 6.6 foul shots per game (27th-highest in the league) against the Lakers, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In comparison to last year's 16.2 rate, Fred VanVleet's shots have dropped this year to 14.1 per game.

Fred VanVleet has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 more than he's accumulated over the course of the season.

The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers is a hard one for 3-point shots; the opposition's starting PGs have shot for the 11th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (27.0%).

The 2nd-most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets.

The Rockets rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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