Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Washington Wizards vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 2, 2023

Updated Mar 3, 2023 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has attempted 16.7 field goals per game this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the league.
Fred VanVleet has attempted 9.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking in the 100th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Fred VanVleet has tallied 37.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 99th percentile.
The Wizards have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (85th percentile).
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing on the road.
The matchup against Washington is a tough one; when the Wizards are playing at home, they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (12.5).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
Fred VanVleet will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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