Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs New Orleans Pelicans · Feb 23, 2023

Updated Feb 24, 2023 12:22 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Toronto Raptors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. New Orleans may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 5.5 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Pelicans are on the road (27th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The Toronto Raptors rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. New Orleans is a tough one for three-pointers; when the Pelicans are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PGs have totaled the 14th-least threes per game in the NBA this year (1.8).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Pelicans have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Raptors.

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