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Fred VanVleet

Fred VanVleet Points
Player Prop - 2/10/2023

Toronto Raptors vs Utah Jazz

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Fred VanVleet has played 35.5 minutes per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

The matchup vs. Collin Sexton is a good one for shots from the field; when Sexton is on the visiting team fellow starting PGs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 16.8 field goals per game (97th percentile).

The Jazz have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home city, which ought to raise possessions for the Raptors.

The Toronto Raptors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Fred VanVleet has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 8.4% more than he's made over the course of the season with the home court advantage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Fred VanVleet has attempted a measly 8.6 shots from downtown per game this year, significantly less than his 9.8 mark last year.

Fred VanVleet has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

The Toronto Raptors check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA at home this year.

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

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