Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 1/14/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Atlanta Hawks · Jan 14, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has been on the court for 36.1 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year on their home court (which can also produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Raptors have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Hawks.
The matchup against the Hawks is a favorable one for three-pointers; opposing teams have tallied the 7th-most treys per game in the league this year (11.4).
Fred VanVleet will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to increases player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has attempted just 8.5 3-pointers per game this year, quite a bit less than his 9.8 mark last year.
Fred VanVleet has converted a measly 2.8 shots from downtown per game this year, significantly lower than his 3.7 mark last year.
Fred VanVleet has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (89th percentile).
The Hawks have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Hawks is a challenging one for drawing fouls; their opposition have attempted a measly 27.0 foul shots per game while playing on the road this year (3rd-least in the league).