Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2024

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Made 3 Point Shots

New Orleans Pelicans vs Houston Rockets · Dec 26, 2024

Updated Dec 27, 2024 1:05 AM UTC

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-170/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has attempted 9.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted in all games this year.
Out of all players in the league, Fred VanVleet rates in the 95th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 35.3 minutes per game this year.
The matchup vs. New Orleans is a positive one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the New Orleans Pelicans are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.5).
The 7th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 37.8% mark, Fred VanVleet's three-point effectiveness has regressed this season to 28.9%.
With respect to three-point shots, the Houston Rockets's poor 31.4% rate of made threes settles in as the 2nd-fewest in the league over the last 25 games.
Fred VanVleet will likely suffer a drop-off in productivity across the board as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

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