Franz Wagner Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/19/2023

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Franz Wagner

NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Rebounds

Indiana Pacers vs Orlando Magic · Nov 19, 2023

Updated Nov 19, 2023 11:20 PM EST

Analysis

Franz Wagner Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Franz Wagner has compiled a terrific 4.3 defensive boards per game this year, significantly more than his 3.2 defensive boards per game last year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Franz Wagner lands in the 83rd percentile for playing time, logging a massive 33.1 minutes per game playing at home this year.
The Orlando Magic are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from being pitted against the speediest pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA this year (the Pacers).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Magic grade out 9thbest in in the league with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

The Magic have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year.
While at home, the Pacers have given up the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Franz Wagner ought to suffer a drop-off in output in all facets of the game in light of being on the road in this matchup.

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