Franz Wagner Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2023

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Franz Wagner

NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Rebounds

Orlando Magic vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 5, 2023

Updated Mar 6, 2023 12:35 AM EST

Analysis

Franz Wagner Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+106/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -152 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Franz Wagner has averaged 4.5 rebounds per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 75th percentile.
Franz Wagner has played 30.0 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Trail Blazers have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Franz Wagner will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage usually increases stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Magic.
The Orlando Magic check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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