Franz Wagner Points - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2024

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Franz Wagner

NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Feb 13, 2024

Updated Feb 14, 2024 4:02 AM EST

Analysis

Franz Wagner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Franz Wagner has tallied 28.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.8 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.
Among all players in the league, Franz Wagner rates in the 86th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 32.5 minutes per game at home this year.
The Orlando Magic have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Franz Wagner has successfully made 91.3% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 8.1% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.
Franz Wagner ought to see an increase in performance across the board as a result of having the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

As it relates to offense, the Magic's poor 108.4 points per game places 4th-fewest in the league over the last 15 games.
This year, the other team's starting SFs have shot 25.5% on threes (14th-worst in the league) vs. the Thunder, marking this as a tough matchup.
The Orlando Magic have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 20 games.
The Thunder have played at the 10th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should decrease possessions for the Magic.
This year, opposing squads have come down with 12.5 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder (lengthening possessions that can spark extra opportunities for offense).

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