Franz Wagner Points - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2024

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Franz Wagner

NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 28, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 11:12 PM EST

Analysis

Franz Wagner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 14.0 rate, Franz Wagner's field goal attempts have jumped this season to 16.2 per game.
Franz Wagner has successfully made 50.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 19.8% higher than he's made from three overall this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Franz Wagner rates in the 85th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 32.2 minutes per game playing at home this year.
The matchup vs. Phoenix is a favorable one for 3-pointers; when the Phoenix Suns are on the road, the opposition's starting SFs have compiled the 23rd-highest three rate in the NBA this year (41.1%).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to raise possessions for the Orlando Magic.

Favors Under

As it relates to offense, the Orlando Magic's unimpressive 102.6 points per game comes in as the 2nd-fewest in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Magic.
Over the last 5 games, their opposition has snagged 13.6 offensive boards per game (highest in the NBA) against the Suns (preserving possessions that can produce extra chances for offense).
Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 1.6 foul shots per game (12th-fewest in the league) vs. the Phoenix Suns, making it tough to get to the foul line.

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