Franz Wagner Points - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2023

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Franz Wagner

NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs New York Knicks · Dec 29, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 12:13 AM EST

Analysis

Franz Wagner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Franz Wagner registers in the 90th percentile for shots, putting up 16.5 per game this year.
This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have shot 48.0% on three-pointers (30th-highest in the league) against the New York Knicks, labeling this as a good matchup.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Magic are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the New York Knicks).
The Magic check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Franz Wagner has failed to convert 3.0 3-pointers per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him among the worst players in the league by this standard: 78th percentile for misses at home.
Franz Wagner has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's accumulated over the course of the season.
The Orlando Magic check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. New York may be a tough one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the New York Knicks are away from home (9th-least in the league).

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