Franz Wagner Points - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2023

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Franz Wagner

NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Washington Wizards vs Orlando Magic · Dec 26, 2023

Updated Dec 26, 2023 11:52 PM EST

Analysis

Franz Wagner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Franz Wagner has attempted 16.5 shots per game this year, placing him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The matchup against Washington is a favorable one for scoring; when the Washington Wizards are at home, the other team's starting SFs have put up the 27th-highest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (50.2%).
The Orlando Magic have played at the 10th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Washington Wizards have played at the speediest tempo in the league this year, which ought to boost opportunities for the Magic.
Franz Wagner has attempted 6.2 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Favors Under

Franz Wagner has converted 25.5% of his attempts from downtown this year, ranking him in the 20th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Franz Wagner has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Orlando Magic grade out 6thworst in in the NBA away from home with a mere 9.9 offensive boards per game this year.
On their home court, the Wizards have given up the most offensive boards per game (13.9) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Franz Wagner will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lower player performance in all facets of the game.

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