Franz Wagner Points - Player Prop Bet 12/21/2023

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Franz Wagner

NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Orlando Magic · Dec 21, 2023

Updated Dec 22, 2023 12:43 AM UTC

Analysis

Franz Wagner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 14.0 rate, Franz Wagner's shots from the field have risen this season to 16.3 per game.
Franz Wagner has averaged 33.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 86th percentile.
Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have compiled 19.8 points per game (28th-highest in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, marking this as a strong matchup for offensive productivity.
The Magic have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
The Magic are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the fastest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Bucks).

Favors Under

Franz Wagner has sunk 26.8% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, placing him in the 24th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Magic grade out 3rdworst in in the league as the visting team with a mere 9.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Over the last 15 games when they are the visiting team, the other team has grabbed 12.4 offensive rebounds per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Bucks (lengthening possessions that can produce further opportunities for offense).
Franz Wagner should suffer a reduction in performance for all stats as a result of being on the road in this matchup.

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