Franz Wagner Points - Player Prop Bet 11/29/2023

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Franz Wagner

NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Washington Wizards · Nov 29, 2023

Updated Nov 30, 2023 12:08 AM UTC

Analysis

Franz Wagner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Franz Wagner has sunk a whopping 8.1 field goals per game this season, quite a bit more than his 7.2 mark last season.
Out of all players in the league, Franz Wagner comes in at the 82nd percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 32.3 minutes per game when playing away from home this year.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court.
The Washington Wizards have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league away from their home stadium this year, which ought to raise possessions for the Magic.
The Orlando Magic rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

When it comes to shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Magic.
This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 40.1% on field goals (12th-worst in the NBA) vs. the Washington Wizards, marking this as a challenging matchup.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have nabbed 13.7 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Washington Wizards (lengthening possessions that can result in added chances for offense).
Relative to last year's 87.0% clip, Franz Wagner's foul-shot proficiency has decreased this year to 69.1%.

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