Franz Wagner Points - Player Prop Bet 11/21/2023

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Franz Wagner

NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 21, 2023

Updated Nov 21, 2023 11:53 PM EST

Analysis

Franz Wagner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Franz Wagner has attempted 16.4 shots from the field per game this year, quite a bit more than his 14.0 mark last year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Franz Wagner measures in the 78th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 31.4 minutes per game this year.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting SFs have registered 25.2 points per game (30th-most in the league) against the Raptors, resulting in a favorable matchup for offensive efficiency.
The 5th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Magic.
The Raptors have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court, which ought to raise opportunities for the Magic.

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 36.6% mark, Franz Wagner's 3-point efficiency has fallen this year to 24.7%.
In terms of offense, the Orlando Magic's lackluster 109.4 points per game while at home ranks 4th-fewest in the NBA this year.

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