Franz Wagner Points - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 6, 2023

Updated Nov 7, 2023 12:13 AM UTC

Analysis

Franz Wagner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Franz Wagner places in the 84th percentile, averaging a monstrous 20.0 points per game since the start of last season.
Franz Wagner has played 32.7 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 82nd percentile.
Since the start of last season, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 2.1 three-pointers per game (28th-most in the league) vs. the Mavericks, branding this as a favorable matchup.
The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from being pitted against the 8th-speediest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA this year (the Dallas Mavericks).
The Magic have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Franz Wagner places in the 76th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a colossal 2.3 fouls per game since the start of last season.
The Orlando Magic rank as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA playing at home since the start of last season.
While playing away from home, the Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Dallas is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.4 foul shots per game since the start of last season when the Mavericks are at home (12th-least in the league).