Franz Wagner Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/2/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Made 3 Point Shots

Golden State Warriors vs Orlando Magic · Jan 2, 2024

Updated Jan 3, 2024 3:07 AM EST

Analysis

Franz Wagner Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-130/+101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Franz Wagner has attempted 4.9 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, placing him in the 77th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Franz Wagner has tallied 34.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 90th percentile.
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 47.0% on 3-pointers (30th-best in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, creating a good matchup.
The 7th-quickest tempo road offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Orlando Magic.
The Orlando Magic will likely see a rise in plays today from squaring off against the 6th-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 17 games (the Warriors).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Franz Wagner registers in the 25th percentile for three-point prowess with a an unimpressive 27.1% rate this year.
Franz Wagner has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (78th percentile).
The Orlando Magic have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing clubs have grabbed 12.1 offensive rebounds per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors (retaining possessions that can lead to further opportunities for offense).
Franz Wagner will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lower player performance across the board.