Franz Wagner Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/21/2023

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Franz Wagner

NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Made 3 Point Shots

Orlando Magic vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 21, 2023

Updated Nov 22, 2023 3:20 AM EST

Analysis

Franz Wagner Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Franz Wagner measures in the 78th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 31.4 minutes per game this year.
The matchup against the Raptors is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the 22nd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.2).
The 5th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Magic.
The Raptors have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court, which ought to raise opportunities for the Magic.
The Magic check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 36.6% mark, Franz Wagner's 3-point efficiency has fallen this year to 24.7%.
The Magic rank as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA since the start of last season as it relates to three-point attempts.

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