Franz Wagner Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2023

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Franz Wagner

NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Made 3 Point Shots

New Orleans Pelicans vs Orlando Magic · Feb 27, 2023

Updated Feb 28, 2023 1:12 AM EST

Analysis

Franz Wagner Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-130/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Franz Wagner has played 30.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 82nd percentile.
The Orlando Magic rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games as it relates to 3-point attempts.
The matchup against the Pelicans is a positive one for 3-pointers; opposing starting SFs have posted the 24th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (37.1%).
The Orlando Magic have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage.
The Pelicans have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should decrease opportunities for the Magic.
The Orlando Magic rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Franz Wagner will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally lowers player performance for all stats.

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