Frank Ntilikina Points - Player Prop Bet 2/15/2023

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Frank Ntilikina

NBA · Player Props

Frank Ntilikina

G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks · Feb 15, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Frank Ntilikina Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Frank Ntilikina has successfully made 38.9% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games on the road, 10.7% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year while playing on the road.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Mavericks.
As a team, the Dallas Mavericks have been terrific at drawing fouls: 2nd-best in the league this year, drawing 26.1 free throw attempts per game.

Favors Under

Frank Ntilikina has successfully made 1.0 baskets per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 10th percentile out of all players in the league.
Frank Ntilikina has tallied 12.1 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 21st percentile -- seeing the court far less than most players in the league.
The matchup against Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is a difficult one; he has allowed a measly 13.5 points per game when matched up against opposing starting SGs this year (4th percentile).
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA while playing away from home this year.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

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