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Evan Mobley

Evan Mobley Rebounds
Player Prop - 3/8/2023

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers

 
 
 
Evan Mobley Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Evan Mobley has posted 6.2 defensive rebounds per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this metric: 95th percentile.
  • Evan Mobley has tallied 33.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 91st percentile.
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Heat have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road.
  • The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Cavaliers.
  • Evan Mobley will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lowers player production in all stat categories.

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