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Evan Mobley

Evan Mobley Points
Player Prop - 3/28/2025

Detroit Pistons vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Evan Mobley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+100/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -143 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Evan Mobley rates in the 89th percentile for shooting performance away from home with a phenomenal 55.7% rate this year.

Evan Mobley has averaged 30.0 minutes per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 80th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

The Pistons have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to more plays for the Cleveland Cavaliers.

The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 5.0 free throws per game (6th-most in the NBA) vs. the Pistons, easily managing to get to the foul line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Pistons is a difficult one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 2nd-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (3.0).

The 8th-most lethargic pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Cavaliers.

Evan Mobley has sunk 56.3% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 17.9% lower than he's converted overall this year.

Evan Mobley should suffer a drop-off in efficiency across the board due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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