Evan Mobley Points - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Evan Mobley

C · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Washington Wizards vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Feb 25, 2024

Updated Feb 25, 2024 11:07 PM UTC

Analysis

Evan Mobley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-121).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Evan Mobley has successfully made 58.0% of his shots from the field without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Evan Mobley has converted 75.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games on the road, 42.9% more than he's converted in all games this season away from his home court.
Evan Mobley has averaged 31.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 82nd percentile.
The Cavaliers rank as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games in regard to three-point attempts.
This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 14.6 field goal attempts per game (24th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Washington Wizards, labeling this as a favorable matchup.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Evan Mobley measures in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, putting up an enormous 2.9 fouls per game this year.
The 4th-least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Cavaliers check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, their opposition has secured 12.6 offensive rebounds per game (most in the NBA) against the Wizards (lengthening possessions that can lead to extra opportunities for offense).
Evan Mobley will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to worsen stat production across the board.