Evan Mobley Points - Player Prop Bet 2/5/2024

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Evan Mobley

NBA · Player Props

Evan Mobley

C · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 5, 2024

Updated Feb 6, 2024 12:07 AM EST

Analysis

Evan Mobley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Evan Mobley has made 50.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 22.7% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.
Out of all players in the league, Evan Mobley places in the 83rd percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 31.4 minutes per game playing at home this year.
The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a favorable one for scoring; opposing starting PFs have shot for the 25th-highest field goal rate in the league this year (52.6%).
The Kings have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should increase opportunities for the Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Evan Mobley places in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, tallying a colossal 2.9 fouls per game playing at home this year.
The 10th-most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
As a team, the Cleveland Cavaliers have been bad at getting to the free-throw line while at home: 2nd-worst in the league this year, tallying a mere 19.6 free throws per game.
The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (15th-least in the league).

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