Evan Mobley Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2023

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Evan Mobley

NBA · Player Props

Evan Mobley

C · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Charlotte Hornets · Apr 9, 2023

Updated Apr 9, 2023 4:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Evan Mobley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-128/-101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Evan Mobley has successfully made 60.8% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 5.5% higher than he's made over the course of the season.
Evan Mobley has been on the court for 34.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 93rd percentile.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the league while on their home court this year.
The matchup vs. the Hornets is a good one; they have given up the 29th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PFs over the last 5 games (20.3).
The Hornets have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games away from their home city, which ought to raise plays for the Cavaliers.

Favors Under

Evan Mobley has successfully made 21.3% of his 3-pointers on his home court this year, ranking in the 17th percentile out of all players in the league.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Hornets have given up the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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