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Elfrid Payton

Elfrid Payton Points
Player Prop - 2/20/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Charlotte Hornets

Elfrid Payton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -100 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games at home, which ought to raise opportunities for the Hornets.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hornets rank 4th-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive boards per game this year.

The matchup vs. Denver may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a massive 6.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Denver Nuggets have the home court advantage (3rd-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Elfrid Payton has converted 0.0% of his treys this year, ranking in the 9th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Out of all players in the NBA, Elfrid Payton comes in at the 7th percentile for 3-point attempts, totaling 0.1 per game this year.

The Charlotte Hornets have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.

This year when they are on the road, opposing starting PGs have averaged 20.5% on 3-pointers (2nd-weakest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, making this a tough matchup.

The 2nd-most sluggish tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Charlotte Hornets.

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