Dyson Daniels Points - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2023

NBA · Player Props

Dyson Daniels

New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets · Nov 17, 2023

Updated Nov 18, 2023 1:38 AM EST

Analysis

Dyson Daniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last season's 1.5 rate, Dyson Daniels's three-point attempts have risen this season to 3.1 per game.
Dyson Daniels has tallied 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 4.3 higher than he's tallied in all games this season at home.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
This year when they are at home, their opposition has snagged 10.0 offensive boards per game (10th-lowest in the NBA) against the Nuggets (lessening possessions that could otherwise bring about more opportunities for offense).
In terms of getting to the foul line, the New Orleans Pelicans's terrific 24.8 free throw attempts per game while at home places 9th-best in the league since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Since the start of last season, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 16.7 points per game (12th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, labeling this as a tough matchup for offensive production.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Pelicans.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the New Orleans Pelicans rank 10thworst in in the league as the road team with only 9.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Relative to last season's 0.6 clip, Dyson Daniels's foul shots made have declined this season to 0.3 per game.
The matchup vs. Denver is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PGs have attempted just 3.4 free throws per game since the start of last season when the Nuggets are at home (10th-least in the league).