Duncan Robinson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2026

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Duncan Robinson

NBA · Player Props

Duncan Robinson

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 28, 2026

Updated Mar 28, 2026 9:34 PM EST

Analysis

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-111/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -126 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pistons will likely see a rise in possessions today from facing the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Timberwolves).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.6 free throws per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

The Pistons rank as the 10th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SGs have tallied 1.3 3-pointers per game (fewest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, branding this as a difficult matchup.
The 5th-most sluggish pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pistons.

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