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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 12/8/2024

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-117/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -117.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Duncan Robinson slots into the 83rd percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc while playing at home, registering 5.9 per game this year.

The Miami Heat have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Duncan Robinson has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 22.2% more than he's sunk over the course of the year.

Over the last 5 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 2.8 free throws per game (10th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Duncan Robinson figures to see an increase in effectiveness in all stat categories due to holding the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a hard one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs this year (12.1).

The 2nd-most lethargic tempo home team in the league this year has been the Heat.

The Heat are expected to see a decline in possessions today from facing the 8th-least up-tempo pace road team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).

The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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