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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 12/7/2024

Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has attempted 5.7 three-point shots per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 81st percentile out of all players in the league.

With respect to scoring, the Miami Heat's outstanding 117.4 points per game while at home comes in as the 10th-most in the league over the last 5 games.

This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 3.8 foul shots per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Phoenix Suns, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

Duncan Robinson will likely get a boost in effectiveness in all facets of the game considering holding the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied 1.5 3-pointers per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Suns, creating a difficult matchup.

The 3rd-most sluggish pace team in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat.

The Suns have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Heat.

The Heat have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Duncan Robinson has sunk 50.0% of his foul shot attempts while at home this year, placing him in the 14th percentile out of all players in the league.

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