Duncan Robinson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2024

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Duncan Robinson

NBA · Player Props

Duncan Robinson

F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 4, 2024

Updated Nov 4, 2024 8:45 PM EST

Analysis

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Duncan Robinson has attempted 6.4 3-point shots per game while on his home court since the start of last season, putting him in the 88th percentile among all players in the NBA.
As it relates to shots from downtown, the Heat's exceptional 37.5% rate of converted threes with the home court advantage places 10th-highest in the NBA since the start of last season.
The Kings have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should increase plays for the Heat.
Duncan Robinson has made 86.5% of his foul shots since the start of last season, putting him in the 87th percentile among all players in the league.
Duncan Robinson will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home generally raises player production for all stats.

Favors Under

The 3rd-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Heat.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 5thworst in in the NBA with only 9.4 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

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