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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 4/29/2024

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In comparison to last season's 7.3 clip, Duncan Robinson's points per game have increased this season to 12.4.

Duncan Robinson has attempted 6.8 three-pointers per game this year, significantly higher than his 4.7 mark last year.

Duncan Robinson has tallied an impressive 27.2 minutes per game this season, quite a bit more than his 17.2 minutes per game last season.

In terms of shot attempts from downtown, the 9th-most aggressive team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Heat.

Duncan Robinson will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually increases stat production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Duncan Robinson places in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, tallying a massive 2.3 fouls per game when playing at home this year.

The Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Miami Heat are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from sharing the court with the slowest tempo away team in the league over the last 15 games (the Boston Celtics).

The Miami Heat check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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