Duncan Robinson Points - Player Prop Bet 4/21/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Duncan Robinson

F · Miami Heat

Points

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat · Apr 21, 2024

Updated Apr 21, 2024 1:21 PM EST

Analysis

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 6.1 clip, Duncan Robinson's shots have risen this season to 9.9 per game.
In comparison to last year's 4.7 rate, Duncan Robinson's three-point attempts have increased this year to 6.9 per game.
In regard to three-point attempts, the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Miami Heat.

Favors Under

Duncan Robinson has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 0.8 more than he's accumulated in all games this season on the road.
The Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA as the road team this year.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Miami Heat.
The Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Duncan Robinson stands to suffer a reduction in effectiveness for all stats on account of being on the road in this contest.